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Sales Forecasting Course - 1
day Introduction to Forecasting
Overview
This one-day forecasting course provides a
sound
introduction to sales forecasting. It explains the alternative
approaches to forecasting including judgemental forecasting, causal
modelling and time series projection. The training covers the important subject of
seasonal analysis, then details a number of the most popular and useful
sales forecasting methods.
This introductory course is backed up with worked examples in Excel, but is geared
to be beneficial regardless of what software is to be used.
Who should attend:
This sales forecasting course is an ideal
introduction for anyone wishing
to gain a background understanding of methods for sales forecasting
and get hands-on with a selection of the most effective methods.
It is attended by
managers and technicians with a wide range of job roles including
forecasting, demand
planning, sales and marketing, operations and supply chain. Delegates have come from a wide range of industries spanning
consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, high tech, financial services and
industrial sectors.
Prices
For prices please complete a
quotation
request form giving the course(s) of interest and the expected number
of delegates.
Learning Outcomes:
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Appreciation of the alternative approaches
that may be useful for sales forecasting.
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Understanding of the need for the best
possible seasonal analysis and some practical ways of dealing with
seasonality.
-
Insights into the challenges of forecasting
for new products and promotions.
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Detailed knowledge of a number of the most
useful forecasting methods.
Typical Course Content:
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The purpose of forecasting, short-term and
medium term. Alternative approaches to sales forecasting
including subjective methods, causal analysis and time series
projection.
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The importance of a good seasonal analysis.
Different ways of dealing with seasonality. Example of a simple
way to calculate a set of seasonal indices and make use of this in
forecasting.
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Curve fitting as a way of projecting the sales
trend. This covers straight line fitting plus a number of other
types of curve.
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Time series forecasting starting with simple moving average
as a basic method of sales forecasting.
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Introduction to exponential smoothing
including worked example of some simple forms of this family of
methods.
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Forecasting for new products and some
practical ways of dealing with this difficult subject.
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Discussion around sales forecasting for promotions
and some methods for dealing with
them.
The need to cleanse historical data prior to statistical
forecasting.
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Outline of the six steps that can often form
the basis for a successful sales forecasting process. Discussion of
forecasting process as applicable to the specific company.
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